Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 148.288509 174.653990 206.808339 249.745737 306.935813 3.826117e+02 494.272964
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 114.095650 144.666303 186.510143 250.797664 353.019043 5.221592e+02 860.018065
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 93.650994 123.538591 167.148950 239.946671 369.648322 6.214800e+02 1270.115413
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 85.054690 116.370682 164.906658 252.859138 429.568073 8.427520e+02 2352.824695
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 74.699328 104.439511 152.243135 243.448281 441.892770 9.727941e+02 3604.110661
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 68.524036 97.914270 146.942965 245.689452 480.235908 1.217132e+03 6932.480403
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 62.544833 90.802476 139.253906 240.934240 499.847278 1.434049e+03 13394.081491
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 61.065998 90.885816 144.289488 264.152738 608.186341 2.227858e+03 113779.096815
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 61.113214 93.526061 154.531003 302.861535 799.317995 4.323586e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 57.208650 88.592016 148.936383 300.976080 848.242632 5.748849e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 54.396926 85.341052 146.270919 306.109722 933.242959 8.665366e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 51.653785 81.922344 142.726030 307.869257 1008.064761 1.319083e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 48.568526 77.938611 138.237773 308.461646 1098.459082 2.382306e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 45.834544 74.417033 134.400229 310.594203 1212.361695 5.636685e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 42.449391 69.263444 126.064105 295.806683 1203.721663 8.974502e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 41.231208 68.297608 127.299720 313.369319 1464.116772 4.895563e+06 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 38.587911 64.186197 120.435493 300.557478 1464.008474 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 36.972731 62.046782 118.092138 303.602121 1624.976361 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 35.082737 59.176839 113.567749 297.146972 1685.867375 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 34.924427 59.921423 118.259887 328.836934 2321.331424 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 35.356088 61.971990 126.781059 382.601705 3811.442700 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 33.898856 59.728706 123.286658 379.956551 4183.632839 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 32.838239 58.288985 121.855585 387.164898 4980.498660 NaN NaN